Prediction: Blowout

Not exactly going out on a limb, I know.

I expect Obama to easily carry every state which John Kerry won in 2004, and also add New Mexico, Iowa, Colorado, Virginia, Ohio and Florida.

The networks will call the race for Obama at 9 pm.

And at 9:01 pm, a large number of pundits who never voted Republican, and never will vote Republican, will all go on television and say in substance, “The Republican party needs to move to the center, etc, etc”. Which is nonsense. Republicans don’t win presidential elections by placating pro-choice New Yorkers who are never going to vote Republican anyway. Reagan, Bush I, and Bush II all won presidential elections on hardcore conservative platforms. This year, for a lot of reasons, no Republican of any ideological stripe could have beaten Senator Obama. More on that later.

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